Showing posts with label Donald Trump. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Donald Trump. Show all posts

Black market for foreign exchange market

Black market for foreign exchange market

"If immigrants and whose household income is cramping, strengthening the currency black market, as well as crime and organised crime".

Mexican immigrants earn of total turnover, transfers are only about 10%, in other words, what you earn, you send only $1 for 10. More $9 is always in the economy of the United States. It is likely to be the cruise relating to two other $9, reduced consumption in the United States, so your economy.

Trump to pay as President of the famous great wall built on measures on the Mexican border, a tax proves once again announced the (economic transfers from abroad), transfer payments to send to Mexico. I can't hear this measure led to fear that those who rule, but most of all, to receive shipments. Approximately 1,400,000 's Mexican families. This is possible? What does it mean?

To get an idea of the size of remittances, we must remember that Mexico about a year ago, 97% received $25 billion, came to the United States. What is Guatemala, which was followed by the country at the reception for the heads of State and Government of Latin America and the representatives of five times. In most cases, they are Mexican immigrants send resources to their relatives, in return, got a job in the United States. IE, it was money already in State taxes and additional fees calculated are twice the same origin. The worst thing is that this measure for a particular group, once again violated the constitutional principle. The arguments may bring to the International Court of Justice and the requirements of the United States, how can block effectively, the Trump.

On the other hand, it is almost impossible to distinguish the transfers; Called the family moved with his family to a, for example for companies, were. The President of the United States has announced legally injured as vague as to Trump be undertakings established measures. Another source of controversy.

Some countries estimate your income now sends tax payment. Also, there's a case in the State of Oklahoma of the United States, shipping costs and payment of 1% annual tax return, she recovered. This can be a measure of Trump questions may be "transformed? Retrieve the deed, since obviously no unlicensed logging and shipping costs.

Some countries such as Venezuela, Cuba, Pakistan and Ethiopia, directly or indirectly (almost always force to be sent in local currency and exchange rate calculated control), reduction of the goods when they receive.

Finally, the mention of this tax is to pay the land border wall with Mexico. There is another error. The cost of the wall is priceless, sooner or later, would be detrimental to the American taxpayer. Maintenance and monitoring (no, it was useless), be installed on the wall of the accident is much higher for construction.

It is worrying that the President of the trumpet can distort the rupture of economic transfers in domestic and international markets. In Mexico, except celebrate the operation, as though it came from a variety of government programs and of dependency, today there are hundreds of thousands of shipments of Mexican families, these goods will be because of the economic crisis, when transferring money. We have a team of tax experts and internationalism in Mexico and the United States to find ways to protect those resources.

It seems that in this respect, the people of Mexico started some protection, but every once in a while finance team to recommend Trump? stored on the wall and our game. On the occasion of Mexico is not the problem.

Global stock Markets continue to Rise

Global stock markets continue to rise

Other than record profits in stock markets on Wednesday, with the s and p 500, promotion bag to earn money to rally seven times in a row. On Thursday, the highest level of the MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan index after the victory of the year 2015 7 from the 0.2% increase.

Hong Kong stock prices reach up to 5 months Thursday, mainly due to low market prices, although some analysts believe that markets remain overbought. Australian shares opened date, although the rise was knocked down by the negative data on employment. Despite the stock market fell in Australia, the Australian dollar was reached Thursday, for many years around the shape of the cross, including the Swiss franc, the euro and the yen. Mentions the level of 0.7710/0.77 cents AUD/USD, to break the key resistance.

On Thursday, at most, 2 weeks of the dollar against the yen and a back half of 0.3%, 113, 84 yen. The dollar index erased some gains Wednesday, dropped to 100, 92. DXY Thursday.

We have a lot of 41 days in the economic data, including weekly requests for unemployment, housing, Philadelphia Fed index programming and production. In addition, he reported on the main results of the result season scheduled for before and after the event.

Analysts also fear that the President of the United States, Donald Trump, especially after the last exit and controversies related to nominate. On Wednesday, in United States United States consumer prices in its largest profits announced January 4 0.6%, almost years. Retail sales rose 0.4%, to reduce the projected number at 0.1%. Despite these strong relationships, some analysts fear that the data is not like looking strong and they have every reason to doubt that this trend will continue.

On analysis of the dollar - February 13, 2017

On analysis of the dollar 

News of the United States were the expectations of Donald Trump President since he was elected in November. The dollar immediately after the election and won a position with large coins, at the intersection of 14 years because they want the new interest rate hike raised area under the aegis of the leverage of interest in a reduction of taxes. But up on the strength $Trump lose political act aggressively protectionist trend, as well as by the absence of a clear consumption forecast and future tax expenses.

The White House on January 20 inaugural tip of Trump, that protectionist measures in a carefree looks like investors disappointed that I hope your victory in November.

In addition, the surprise for the market, said Trump, who are concerned about the strength of the dollar. Although your Ministry quickly downplayed comments from 2 weeks enough that the dollar index hit the nadir.

However, the Fed's 25 basis points since the financial crisis of 0.5 0.75% zhi increases exactly one year after the end of 2016. FED'S interbank interest rate rose for the second time for interest rates, changes in December 2015.

The 10 members of the Committee to support this increase. Even the optimistic expectations of aggressive interest supports American political officers in the year 2017 and politics. "Conspiracy" of the FOMC, until the end of the year for each Member of the specified types of forecasts, the results, which the three Committee should take that was born in the year 2017, a proportion reflected the same chart in September. a total of 11 17 members believe that the United States will increase in three classifications are more optimistic than expected this year.

This year, the Federal Reserve Chairman, Janet · The Federal Republic has reiterated comments by Yellen are extremely positive for the market, focus on inflation and full employment Commission closer to your goal. Rhetoric, members of the Federal market Committee maintains an upward trend, suggesting that the Fed may take more aggressive than your market position.

On the other hand, the business news of the United States are still pending. The job market even more is thrown in force and January, 227,000 new job opportunities. Unemployment rate remained low for 8 years and more importantly, that wages increased. Average salary increased by 2.9% in the year 2016, the strongest increase since the financial crisis. Even if the Fed believes that the rate remained therefore the February session, we, that there are many possibilities, in March of this year, as more remains responsive to the labour market. We believe that the sum of three or four in the year 2017, would be after the last episode.

Is the manipulation of currency?

Is the manipulation of currency?


President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi has left Monday · responding to criticism yesterday at gut Navarro, Donald Trump, in contrast to the euro area and in particular new business consultants Germany: Mario Draghi to ensure that Europe does not increase with euro exports from countries of the Nadierda at the same time "is extremely disturbing," banking supervision with the intention of relaxing the new Government.

Peter Navarro, they come from China, is famous for its strong position in the context of trade economists are known through the revelation of a series of books, documentary and described China's economy and Beijing aspired to a dominant position in the economy of Asia and the threat of military force. We must not forget this asset in international trade and globalization has become a central feature of the presidential election campaign and criticism, which he calls "bad trade agreements" as the United States and other countries. In response, Trump had threatened all prices include China and Mexico. Now extend its threats, threatening to give us exact gauge of the eurozone "trade wars" and "currency war" to expand our boy.

And Dragons today to the European Parliament and only "does not handle the economic trading first rate countries, are all under the American economic cycle can European monetary policy expansion and genre of the European Bank for the stadium raised gradually, interest and varied Federal formed except rhetoric decided (don't believe all the" long "(as you and less accept it as real Dang explain)) , is not aware of the enormous challenge.

Even worse is that Mario Draghi because: Ministry of Finance of the United States in Germany last year, no relationship "unilateral intervention in currency markets" has been completed. Notice that I'm not that Trump wants to build your built on the ruins of earlier decisions of the Government? Is not read and think PPT the renegotiation of the North American free trade agreement between newspapers caused in United States? , They argue, there may as "corruption" is not an American (USA) need to take into consideration the decisions of the Department?

Started to shake, if we take into account that has a lot of them. "Now you can come my round of Golf" or "praise my intelligent response", "it looks to me (friend) that" puck "Trump, feels" less "and one that says sorry" seem to say. "

But perhaps this solution by spiritual myopia (bad) Marlene has explained soon, if it is successful, it goes from "French institutions through the doors." Factors and possible presidential election victory of Le Pen started the French influence on the market, premiums for risks in France and their borrowing costs by about 2% (by 2014) and the return of EUR 1.07 dollars to euros.

Trump, the Central Bank and the currency war

Trump, the Central Bank and the currency war


It might be a little early to talk of a "currency war", but the fact is that the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve in the last sessions of the major currencies released by the sudden change in the price. The euro appreciated foam (up ' against ' 1.08), (exchange rate is EUR 0.86) its biggest annual dollar this week, more than 1.3 billion.

All customs duties on imports and the boundary wall. It is now a currency war. Complete configuration file of United States foreign policy. In the election campaign should economic sanctions for those who take care of your money, the first objective was stressed: China, Japan and Germany with an artificially weak currency on the life of other costs. Accusing the neighbourhood policy of ' poverty ', in practice, in the case of Germany against each other with its European partners, for time and a serious crack the outlines of the project. Looking for the biggest political and business in Europe and around the world had ever seen, threatened a sympathy with the Atlantic, not only because he is a declared preference for weak and divided Europe, can also receive more conservative. How does it affect the climate problem and the great Germany as ratio of United States with strategic ally.

Immediately following and the dollar continues to plunge in three types of coin and the condition (bilaterally with United States and persistent current account surpluses and deal with the currency), it is not clear, in all three cases must be reported "currency manipulator". Rise against the dollar was the main reason at the beginning of the expansion of the tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve to deal with next year's recovery more difficult, for a long time, the most important consequence is an extension of the extreme weakness of the dollar. See manipulation attempts, rates seem to trump the truth swung a big lie and disabled neighbors as the world of forms of being.

Every European country has its own currency, Germany would have a clear appreciation of each other, especially in times of crisis. Applies in Germany, given the fact that the trade surplus of euros in circulation are not more attention, but it is also true that the European Union ever in 2012 and 2013 in China, Japan and the United States ' war currency worked. We must not forget the European sovereign debt crisis and the strength of the euro as Germany, afraid, alone, problem solving, life companion in the run-up to the international capital markets may be a waste.

In China can only be considered once for its intervention in currency markets to keep the Yuan undervalued and thus a competitive advantage, but today's reality is different. 2016 was similar coins of its main trading partners of Asian giant is forced to spend more than $650 billion of the Central Bank to avoid additional writedowns.

By the Central Bank and mistrust of good economic data on both sides of the Atlantic for messages. The most obvious example is in the United States. 246 000 new jobs to the private sector in January this year, far beyond the above analysts ' forecasts of 165,000 jobs. In theory, the United States, increases the power of the market on interest rate expectations more aggressively, but much more cautious than expected messages select the Federal.

Donald Trump speaks for the first time in front of the White House, meeting, Yellen only gradually increasing the boys, gives an idea of the next step will be. Yes, in the absence of Government of the United States again, known under the name of tax measures fed to ensure that the U.S. economy continues to grow at a "moderate" reduced uncertainty in the global economy. At the moment the two increase the discount rate for the United States this year and two in the year 2018.

United Kingdom, a similar situation. Bank of Portugal (BoE) new planned for 2017 before GDP growth of 1.4% 2% increase is power and cooling at the same time, tightening monetary inflation is back. Finding members of BoE chose price controls and properties, in the last month of the waterfall to the victory of the record books. Delays were the first, market interest rates at the end of 2018, currently 0.25% increase in the United Kingdom.

The ECB is concerned, supported the purchases, while growth in the euro area, the German voice over low interest rates and inflation pressure on the work of monetary stimulus.

Mexican peso is influenced by tweets by Donald Trump

Mexican peso is influenced by tweets by Donald Trump

Mexican peso is influenced by tweets by Donald Trump

Mexico Peso has record low Thursday, as President of the Conference, Donald Trump on Twitter broken negotiations with Mexico President Enrique Pena Nieto has threatened if the Mexico that isn't ready for the wall, the United States and Mexico, on the border between numbers.

Peña Nieto on Tuesday, the immigration provisions of the North American free trade agreement Treaty discuss meeting with Trump.

USD/JPY 0.58% advanced 21.19 some about 20.86 horizontally for at least three weeks.

"The United States have $60 trillion and the trade deficit of Mexico". Was the free trade agreement-American, lost a lot of unilateral contract jobs and businesses, "said Trump." _ modular

"If Mexico wants to pay the walls, we recommend that you cancel the next fight."

Trump Wednesday signed two regulations, right up to the border of Mexico and United States of America and others, published in the United States us condition after the construction of the wall of Tweets by border guards.

A few hours later, Peña Nieto said: "He sighs and rejected," trump Bill, as well as "the Mexico not wall."

He repeated what he has not promised any wall and Mexico securable, which will be transferred to persons in Mexico, in the United States.

Weight had dropped this year to a record low against the dollar, $2.5% less than the year 2017.

Donald Trump blame that China is manipulating its exchange rate.

Donald Trump blame that China is manipulating its exchange rate.

President Donald · Trump can get into trouble if he had arrived at the White House formally accuse China manipulates its currency. The first problem is that this is no longer true.

Because the second is the world-after the withdrawal of United States currency in favour of the export company in China to handle. However, Beijing will continue as needed to spend a year in the United States to negotiate a solution, until no action could lead to a punishment for the practice of the law of the United States.

Donald Trump blame that China is manipulating its exchange rate.

Trump has accused China for much of the campaign for the country's economic problems. It is true that trade relations between the two countries are not uniform. Sold in the United States to buy China a little bit more. Amazing United States ' trade deficit for 2016, $289 million in the first 10 months upwards.

However, the fact is that in the last two years for the market valuation of its currency, the Yuan did not diminish, blended in a China to increase the competitiveness of Chinese exports.

Beijing was a bit further in that direction Thursday. Has published a document, added to a basket of currencies, China's exchange rate system and the other 11 currencies against the dollar.

It was Prasad, an economist at Cornell University, a Manager said the plan earlier this month winning currency China label "unrealistic".

"All these discussions, satire, said," David dollar, Brookings Institute and former employee of the World Bank and the members of the United States Treasury Department. Trump "Crusaders," he added.

The Ministry of finance not to accuse China of manipulating its currency since 1994. If all goes well, it could be that what is going to happen, at least early on.

If he is appointed by the Treasury Committee in 2015, according to the law on China's currency manipulator, who tried a year, troubleshooting must pass through negotiations. In case they fail, Washington can take revenge, as the United States of America external private investment Corporation (OPIC) to avoid a government agency, developing all control systems in China.

Problem is that years ago punished after the bloody 1989 Tiananmen crackdown in Beijing overseas private investment Corporation, China suspended in the activities of the United States.

China a manipulator of currency introduced application is basically "just an opening", Oman, Xiusihabode and international trade law said dolphins tight, President of Reed and former staff member of the business sector. "There are no immediate consequences," he added.

Business at Peterson Institute for international economics, Gary specialist · HUF farmer said that because he is the President, Trump your currency could trigger disputes. In the past, gave Congress the President full powers to impose trade sanctions. Trump threatened including customs duties on imports from China to 45% in relation to unfair commercial practices, the penalty for the alleged manipulation of its currency.

For some reason claimed by the United States, China has a record of trade sanctions in retaliation.

Chinese Communist Party newspaper global times, published in the magazine guessed, "China will have an eye for an eye" If the Government exceed the price of the United States. The newspapers also noted that sales of iPhone and Boeing China Beijing may limit the company's planes.

"China is predictable," said Delporte. "When returned from a call, she of the same".

Advantages and disadvantages of the currency and investments for the period 2016

Advantages and disadvantages of the currency and investments for the period 2016

  • Sterling and Mexico in Bissau and Sweden is even worse.
  • Exchanges and better training are worse than the Nigerian people Brazil.
  • Clearly, prices throughout the year increase energy.
Advantages and disadvantages of the currency and investments for the period 2016

This year Triunfode Donald Trump in presidential elections and the election of the first month and the standard for investors, target and the index of at least 500 poor are not silent.

2016 has now ended, we review the best and worst months 12.

These are "books" is a particularly bad year. Egyptian version which guarantees for poor performance in the year 2016, the country, fluctuating currency, lack of interest in trying to stabilize the economy and social unrest. Meanwhile, Sterling fell after the start and never recovered.

On the opposite side of the spectrum, digital currencies is the best performance of the year: more than 100%, because the entries of interest in alternative currency controls capital flows in countries such as China and United Kingdom and United States.

The best performance among the major currencies, Brazil $ (+ 20.91%), South Africa (+ 11.57%), yen (+ 2.12%), while the worst performance was the United Kingdom pounds (-17.08%), Mexico-Bissau (-17.05%) Crowns of Sweden (-8.35%).

Stock index

Despite recent scandals, Brazil care stock index Ibovespa is still the best performance in the year 2016. This is mainly due to hopes that President Michel, fear, as he admitted friends wrong Office · Dilma was removed, ending the worst recession for more than a century and brought political stability in the South American country. IBOVESPA gained 63, 36% and Venezuela 23.25, 23.01%, while the stock index by Colcap Colombia.

Nigeria is the worst year of the award. Its economy is expected to shrink in the year 2016 over 20 years for the first time due to capital controls against foreigners and oil pipelines attacked fighters.

The most important raw material

2015 will be hard raw materials has increased from almost everyone in 2016. Determination of natural gas in the last 12 months, more than 60% deposit to highlight, in time for the first week of January.

Production of oil, even if the card is full of high and deep. West Texas intermediate oil fell below 30 dollars and exceeds $50. The worst performance of crops: wheat and corn fell by 13% and 1.6%, respectively.

Fixed income securities, securities market of Venezuela, one of the best investments, incredible thing because the country into an economic crisis. Bonds rose because of rumors that the Government might have tried to make a deal, order deadlines, give countries facing liquidity problems, given room to breathe. In the year 2017, debt maturity over and some payments.